中文题名: | A新能源汽车公司财务风险预警研究 |
姓名: | |
学号: | SF1809100 |
保密级别: | 公开 |
论文语种: | chi |
学科代码: | 125300 |
学科名称: | 管理学 - 会计 |
学生类型: | 硕士 |
学位: | 管理学硕士 |
入学年份: | 2018 |
学校: | 南京航空航天大学 |
院系: | |
专业: | |
研究方向: | 财务管理与资本运营 |
第一导师姓名: | |
第一导师单位: | |
完成日期: | 2023-03-01 |
答辩日期: | 2023-03-11 |
工作时间: | 2020.9.1 |
外文题名: |
Research on Financial Risk Warning of New Energy Automobile Company |
中文关键词: | |
外文关键词: | New energy vehicle ; financial risk warning ; risk research ; efficacy coefficient method |
中文摘要: |
环境保护作为新时代的风向标,逐渐引领与其息息相关的新能源汽车走向大众视野。但是新能源汽车行业在其蓬勃发展的同时,风险也紧随其后。我国新能源公司也面临产量和销量双重不足的威胁,导致盈利能力下降,引发如偿债能力下降、融资困难等财务风险和压力,从而需要建立管控自身风险的财务风险预警模型,能够实现其价值,为新能源汽车发展保驾护航。 本文从研究背景出发,介绍相关概念和理论,了解A新能源汽车公司的财务风险情况,以A新能源公司从2018年第三季度到2019年第三季度的数据作为数据来源和数据支撑,通过对该公司所实施的财务风险预警模型进行分析研究,在国家层面也有政策变化所带来的影响,研究发现其风险在于公司存在资金不足、成本过高、缺少对自身公司的实际运行考量、制度不完善、缺乏管理经验、财务分析方法匮乏、行业发展太快无法跟上等问题。针对这些问题,本文对新能源汽车公司投资风险预警作为一个整体进行财务分析。针对A新能源汽车公司的现状进行分析,并再此作为研究对象的基础上,设计出A新能源汽车公司财务风险预警体系,确定指标选取的原则、依据,选择相关系数法、熵值法、功效系数法等预警方法,以其近几年财务情况作为数据支撑,根据相关数据图示,分析数据,建立模型,确定指标数值,最后对整个建模论证过程进行分析总结,系统化地提出对策和建议,切实有效解决该公司目前存在的问题和未来潜在的危机和威胁,得出解决方案并对公司未来提出展望。 研究成果表明:(1)财务预警帮助公司科学纠正当前发展方向,优化经营管理,为实现风险抵抗提供可靠依据。(2)分析财务风险预警结果的过程中,尝试从四大能力予以深入研讨,发现公司在盈利、营运、偿债、发展风险都存在不小的风险因素(3)此次财务预警模型选取Z-Score模型进行体系设计完善,让财务风险预警具有更高精准度。(4)针对公司最近五个季度的财务风险开展科学系统评估,改进后能够较为准确感知A公司所面临的实际财务风险。(5)通过对模型预警进行对比发现,本文采用的财务风险预警模型体系对A新能源汽车公司的财务风险预警有效。 |
外文摘要: |
New energy vehicles, led by environmental protection, the wind vane of the new era, have become an essential part of people’s lives due to its close relation to environmental friendly energy. In spite of its rapid development, the new energy vehicle industry is also accompanied by the arrival of risks. New energy companies in China are also confronted with the threat of insufficient production and sales, which leads to a decline in profitability and financial risks and pressures such as reduced solvency and financing difficulties. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a financial risk warning model to control their own risks, which can realize its value and escort the development of new energy vehicles. This paper starts from the research background to introduce relevant concepts and theories and mainly elaborate the financial risks of A New Energy Automobile Company. With the data of A New Energy Company from the third quarter of 2018 to the third quarter of 2019 as the data source and data support, through the analysis and research of the financial risk warning model implemented by the company, there is also the impact of policy changes at the national level. The study shows that the risks come form the company itself. For instants, it has insufficient funds. The cost is too high, the actual operation of the company is not considered. The system is not perfect. Besides, the management experience is lacking and also the financial analysis method, and the industry is developing too fast. In view of these problems, this paper analyzes the investment risk early warning of new energy vehicle companies as a whole. A new energy vehicle company is taken as the research object to analyze its current situation, financial situation, and the corresponding plans and strategies. This paper designs the financial risk early warning system of A New Energy Automobile Company, determines the principle and basis of indicator selection, and select the entropy method, efficiency coefficient method and other warning methods. It uses the company’s financial situation in recent years as the data support, completes relevant data diagrams to analyze data, establish models, and determine the standard value of indicators. Finally, the thesis analyzes and summarizes the whole modeling demonstration process, and systematically proposes countermeasures and suggestions which are expected to efficiently and effectively solve the current problems and potential crises and threats of the company, draws solutions and puts forward prospects for the future of the company. The research results show that: (1) Financial early warning helps the company scientifically correct the current development direction and optimize operation and management, and provides a reliable basis for risk resistance. (2) In the process of analyzing the early warning results of financial risks, we attempt to conduct in-depth research from the four capabilities, and find that the company has the highest financial risk in terms of profitability and operation, followed by development risk, among which the risk level corresponding to debt repayment risk is low. (3) The Z-Core model is used in the construction of the financial early warning model to make the financial risk warning model more accurate. (4) After carrying out scientific and systematic assessment on the financial risks of the Company in the last five quarters and providing further improvements, this model is able to more accurately perceive the actual financial risks faced by Model A Company. (5) By comparing the model and prediction effect, it is found that the financial risk early warning model adopted in this thesis is effective for the warning of A New Energy Automobile Company's financial risk. |
参考文献: |
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中图分类号: | F275 |
馆藏号: | 2023-009-0267 |
开放日期: | 2023-10-10 |